So the Edge.org submits an annual question to 151 intellectuals, artists and scientists, among others. This year they ask “What game-changing scientific ideas and developments do you expect to live to see?” Many of the answers are interesting. But I want to focus for a moment on a bias among the respondents. The first thing I notice is that many respondents answer that a development within their field of expertise will be the game changer. This is very suspicious and self-serving. (Nevermind that some of these folk need more attention to raise more money for their projects…squeaky wheel gets the oil.)
Why not tie a betting market to this question?